BAKU, Azerbaijan, January 9. A new shipment of
petroleum products from Azerbaijan to Armenia is expected, marking
another step toward the restoration of logistical links between the
two countries, Azerbaijani economist Inglab Ahmadov told Trend.


The upcoming delivery will include 1,000 tons of AI-92 gasoline,
1,000 tons of diesel fuel, and 1,800 tons of AI-95 gasoline. This
will be the second shipment following the first delivery on
December 18, 2025, when 1,220 tons of AI-95 gasoline were sent to
Armenia.


In his statement, Ahmadov stressed that the key factor in such
supplies is their regularity and long-term outlook.


“It is positive that this is happening within a relatively short
period of time,” he said.


According to him, if no serious unforeseen circumstances arise,
supply volumes are expected to grow, eventually leading to a
steadily developing trade balance in the region.


Ahmadov noted that this would make it possible to think about
long-term prospects for rebuilding logistics and developing
partnerships with Armenia, primarily in the supply of petroleum
products.


“Of course, changes do not happen instantly. There is a fuel and
energy balance that must be maintained in order not to disrupt the
stability of Azerbaijan’s domestic fuel supply or Armenia’s needs.
The Armenian market is small, and it is still too early to talk
about rapidly reshaping the fuel and energy ‘map.’ At this stage,
we are talking about symbolic initial steps. All this will take
time, and it is still unclear how events in the region will
develop, given the ‘tectonic’ instability in the south, the north,
and Eurasia as a whole.







Trade is not only about the delivery of goods but also about a
broader picture of interdependence and interaction between
countries, even if their relations are not yet fully friendly.
Azerbaijan is associated in the region with being a major supplier
of petroleum products. We are now starting with a symbolic supply
of fuel and energy products, which will require the restoration of
a logistics line to Armenia that has not functioned since the
collapse of the Soviet Union. Against the backdrop of instability
among other suppliers, including Russia, the timing of these
supplies is extremely favorable. This lays the groundwork for
further expansion of deliveries and the strengthening of economic
ties between the countries,” he added.


The expert emphasized that the initial steps in petroleum
product supplies will gradually expand and be complemented by other
goods, a point that has already been voiced by Armenia’s
leadership.


He described the process as the beginning of a complex but
necessary effort to establish relations between peoples and states,
adding that developments are unfolding as they should and that
prospects for fuel and energy cooperation in the region are
promising.


On October 21, 2025, President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev, in a
joint press statement with President of Kazakhstan Kassym-Jomart
Tokayev, said that Azerbaijan had lifted all restrictions on cargo
transit to Armenia that had been in place since the occupation
period. The first such transit shipment was the delivery of Kazakh
grain to Armenia.


On December 18, the State Oil Company of the Azerbaijan Republic
(SOCAR) sent the first batch of locally produced oil to
Armenia.


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